The Effect of Inflation on
Measures of Financial Performance on Indian Manufacturing Industry
Pramod Kumar Patjoshi
Assistant Professor, Department of Management,
Studies, Regional College of Management Autonomous, Bhubaneswar. Orissa
*Corresponding Author E-mail: pramodpatjoshi@gmail.com
ABSTRACT:
Price do not remains constant over a period
of time. They tend to change due to various factors like economical, social,
political etc. This paper aims to demonstrate the disfiguring effects of
inflation on the financial statement on Manufacturing Industry in India, and
the corresponding effects on measures of profitability. The financial performances of 42 manufacturing companies covering 7
industrial sectors have been restated in current purchasing power for a period
of 5 years (2004-05 to 2008-09). The Current Purchasing Power method and
different tools of financial statement analysis like comparative and
common-size statement analysis have been employed for study the impact of
inflation on financial performance. It is observed that after inflation
adjustment, the level of profitability in Indian manufacturing industry is
lower (overall) with respect to profitability measures calculated using
historical cost based on financial statements. In addition to the impact of inflation on manufacturing industry varies greatly
for the study period. The result emphasizes the differential effects on
manufacturing industry with varying inflation rates.
KEY WORDS: Manufacturing Industry, Financial
Performance, Inflation, Comparative Statement, Common-size Statement
1. INTRODUCTION:
Changes in the price levels cause two types
of economic conditions, one is Inflation and another is Deflation. Inflation
may be defined as period of general increase in the prices involve in the
factors of production whereas deflation cause fall in the general price level.
These changes in the price level lead to inaccurate presentation of financial
statement which otherwise are prepared to present in true and fair view of the
company’s financial health. This is so because the financial statements are
prepared on the basis of historical costs. In India the financial statements
use to present according to actual and cost concept. On historical costs on the
assumption that the unit of account i.e. rupee has static value. The purchasing
power use to change by the passes of time, in India the purchasing power of the
rupee is changing and it’s rising continuously.
Hence it is clear that the measurement unit of various
transactions i.e. money relate to different points of time. But the value of
money does remain constant over a period of time; it has different values in
different point of time due to changes in the price levels. So we use to
compare two unlike things the past and present figures of the financial
statements without taking in into consideration of the price levels changes.
The profit or loss arrived from these transactions will not reveal a true
picture. It is generally said that profits that arrived from profit and loss
account on the basis of historical cost has a tendency to overstate due to rise
in price level. This is do because during inflation the selling prices would
indicate the value realized in terms of increase prices but the costs which
pertain to the earlier period shows the lower value. So the various expenses
incurred, income earned, assets acquired and liabilities incurred use to shown
in different financial statement has different value during inflation period.
In the past few years of high inflation, companies have
reported very high profits on the one hand but on the other they have faced
real financial difficulties. This is so because in reality dividend and taxes
have been paid out of capital due to overstated profits arrived by adopting the
historical cost concept. Thus a change from historical cost concept to price
level or inflation accounting has been recommended.
These estimates of profits can have several further
effects. When these reported profits are used as the basis of corporate profits
taxes to the government, it leads to larger tax payments, and the government
can become an important beneficiary of inflation. Furthermore, if reported
profits are used as a basis of corporate decision making the companies may not
be setting prices sufficiently high to ensure an adequate rate of return on a
long-term basis, if they have some scope for pricing policies. In addition,
dividends may be paid out to an excessive degree and thereby they might not
have an adequate level of internal reserves to maintain their real resources intact.The effect of inflation on the interpretative value
of financial statements is much pronounced and it is more frequently put
forward as an argument in favour of devaluation from
the existing historical cost accounting' system.
It has been pointed above that profit
under Historical Cost Based Method (HBC method) is overstated as compared to
Current Purchase Power Method (CPP method) because of undercharging of
depreciation and materials cost to the profit and loss accounts. To examine
this, the present study summarizes and analyzes the profit and loss accounts of
sample companies under both HCB as well as CPP method. This study attempts to
make a comparative analysis of reported and inflated business performance.
2. LITERATURE REVIEW:
SinhaS. L. N. (1974), in
his study on the Impact of Inflation on Company Finance' noted that with
respect to the Reserve Bank study of 350 companies in the three years from 1971
to 1973 suggests that with the impact of inflation the profit before tax
rose. To conclude, these companies could
not take benefit of the inflationary price rise in the country and thus a
strong case for adjusting company accounts on the basis of historical values to
their current prices emerges to show a more realistic picture. Gupta R. andBhandari L. C. (1978),this article is to
measure the impact of inflation on reported profits and relevant financial
ratios. The earnings of 57 companies covering 9 industries have been restated
for a period of 7 years (1970-1976). The study shows that the impact of
inflation on individual companies and industry groups varies greatly. The
result emphasizes the differential effects on companies with varying inflation
rates. The effects of restatement on dividend payout and tax burden have been
suitably highlighted. Gupta Ramesh (1978) in his working paper “A
Case Study of the Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd.” reviewed
the recent developments in inflation accounting as well as the role played by
the accounting professional bodies in the U.K., U.S.A and in India. In this paper, a detailed study of the BHEL
Current Cost Accounts (CCA) for the year 1976-77 has been made. The BHEL
profitability on historical cost and CCA basis has been evaluated during this
period and found the understatement of profits. Arie Baran, Josef Lakonishokand Aharon
R.(1980) had discussed in their article entitled "The
Information Content of General Price Level Adjusted Earnings: Some Empirical
Evidence" in the year 1980 that general price level restated data contain
information not included in currently available historical cost data. The
results obtained in this study appear to support the hypothesis that price
level restated data contain information which is not included in the financial
reports currently available.
William C. Norby (1981), this article “Inflation
Accounting Information, The SAXE
Lecture in Accounting” was related to the impact
of inflation accounting adjustments on companies and industry groups for
investment decisions; and demonstrate managerial uses of inflation accounting
for internal control as well as strategic decisions. The analysis was based
primarily on covering the eight year period 1972-1980, and concluded with an
appraisal of the advantages and limitation of inflation accounting for
practical decision-making. D. J. Daly (1982), in the article
“Inflation, Inflation Accounting and its Effect, Canadian Manufacturing,
1966-82”, provides estimates of the effects of inflation in Canada on the
reported rate of return in manufacturing firms from 1966 to 1982. Comparisons
are made with similar studies for the United Kingdom. Such studies show that
reported profits are overstated and total assets are undervalued during and
after periods of inflation. Nunley, Terry James
(l983),in his thesis; Effects of Changing Pieces be audited, has studied
that the FASB has indicated that it will reconsider the present requirement for
disclosing the effects of inflation. By using the assertion classifications
contained in SAS No. 31, the study examined the types of evidence available to
prove a declaration, which changes a firm’s performance significantly arc those
of valuation and allocation. Porwal L.S., and Mishra, N. (1983)investigated
into corporate practices in inflation accounting in India. They investigated
235 large private and public sector companies in India through questionnaires.
This study reveals that very few companies are approaching for the inflation
accounting. All the private sector companies considered inflation only for
management accounting purposes, and none showed such information in their
impact of inflation of their financial performance in their published annual
reports.
Ambrish Gupta (2000), in his thesis
“Inflation Accounting: The Indian Context”, this study was a modest effort
towards a systematic and comprehensive analysis of various aspects for
inflation accounting and looks for offering an acceptable solution to this
problem in the Indian context. The study discusses the problem as well as the
need for Inflation accounting in India, its origin, subsequent developments the
world and the alternative approaches to Inflation Accounting. It also made an
assessment of its effect of inflation on the profitability plus financial
position, respectively, of the corporate entities. He took into consideration
different companies and reflected the effect of inflation on financial
performance and position of those firms. Okumus H. Saduman (2002), in his article “The
Effect of Inflation on Measures of Profitability in Turkish Banking” aims to
demonstrate the disfiguring effects of inflation on the financial statements of
Turkish banks, and the corresponding effects on measures of profitability
performance. It is observed that after inflation adjustment, the level of
profitability in Turkish banking over the period 1989-1995 is lower (overall)
with respect to profitability measures calculated using historical cost based
on financial statements. In addition to this, a significant change in ranking
by bank group, according to profitability performance is noted. This clearly
reflects the importance of considering the potential distorting effects of
inflation on the financial statements of Turkish banks. Fr. à Paraître (2003), this study is
related to most of the countries which have suffered from inflation within
recent memory and countries in Latin America and the former Soviet Union have
lived with very high rates of inflation for several years. Under inflation,
national accounts at current as well as at constant prices will be seriously distorted
unless special adjustment techniques are applied. By explaining these in a
systematic fashion, the author brings new insights into the definition and
measurement of income as well as the calculation and interpretation of price
indices. Ross Jennings and Gustavo Maturana
(2005), in their study “The Usefulness Of Chilean Inflation Accounting,”
examines the usefulness to investors of the “monetary correction” required
under Chilean accounting standards. The monetary correction arises when
nonmonetary assets, liabilities and owners’ equity are restated for changes in
the purchasing power of the Chilean peso, and when assets and liabilities
denominated in other currencies are restated for changes in the exchange rate
between that currency and the Chilean peso. This paper provided three separate
sets of empirical results that examine the relation between the monetary
correction and both unexpected returns and security prices, conditional on the
remainder of reported earnings. Taken together, the results suggested that the
monetary correction provides useful information for investors.
Yaniv Konchitchki, (2011), in
his article “Inflation and Nominal Financial Reporting: Implications for
Performance and Stock Prices’ studied the Monetary Unit fundamental accounting
assumption relies on a stable currency as the unit of record. Even during
periods of low inflation, nominal financial statements violate this assumption.
Moreover, because inflation affects firms differently depending on the
structure of their assets and liabilities, these effects vary across firms and
over time. First, it showed that unrecognized economic gains and losses from
inflation manifest in future cash flows. Second, it found that investors do not
adequately incorporate this information in their pricing decisions. Charles N'cho-Oguee,
Daniel L. Blakley, L. William Murray, and Marolee Beaumont Smith (2011), in their
article “Econometric Analysis Of Functional Relationship Between Inflation And
Growth Of Firms In South Africa : Empirical Research Findings” this research is
to investigate the impact inflation and other factors on the growth of business
firms operating in South Africa. Data sets of South African firms’ financial
statements over the period of 1983-1990 were assembled to permit a detailed
examination of the impact of inflation on firm’s financial pertinences.
Employing both direct and indirect measures of inflation, it has concluded that
inflation affects growth in a negative manner.
3. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY:
The objectives of the proposed study are to
measure and record, the effects of price level changes on thefinancial
performance under Historical Cost Based Accounting (HCBA) of selected Indian
companies.
a)
To examine impact of inflation on book profits of firms.
b) To make
a comparative analysis of reported and inflated business performance
4. METHODOLOGY AND
TESTS USED IN THE STUDY:
The work conducted is a study of 42
undertakings, selected randomly from manufacturing sectors operating in India.
The companies so selected are capital intensive, where there is a heavy
investment in fixed assets and inventories, profitable and following the same
accounting practices throughout the period of study. These sample companies
belong to different sectors, viz. Auto, Cement, Chemical, Fertilizer, Food,
Petroleum and Steel.
The year-end financial statements of sample
companies were used for the comparing the reported and inflated performances.
The published annual reports, books, journals, web pages, etc. of the selected
companies form the main sources of information. The data so collected are
analyzed with the help Current Purchasing Power Method (CPP), Comparative
Statement Analysis and Common-size Statement Analysis employed too to draw
meaningful conclusion.
Current Purchasing Power Method:
Current Purchasing
Power Method of accounting requires the companies to maintain the financial
statements on conventional historical cost basis, but it further requires
presentation of supplementary statements in items of current purchasing power
of currency at the end of the accounting period. In this method the various
items of financial statements, i.e. balance sheet and profit and loss account
are adjusted with the help of recognized general price index. The consumer
price index or the wholesale price index prepared by the Reserve Bank of India
can be taken for conversion of historical costs. However,
WPI (All Commodities) is being used in this study,
Conversion Process:
For analyzing the impact inflation on
financial performance the Historical Cost Based (HCB) accounting, financial
statements for all the years from 2004-05 to 2008-09 were converted into
Accounting for Current Purchasing Power (CPP) financial statements in terms of
the index number prevailing in the month of March 2009. The adjustments for
inflation are based on movements in wholesale price index.
Table No. – 1: Wholesale Price Index in
India [2000-09]
|
Year |
Average |
Average as per 2004-05 |
Year End |
Year End as per2004-05 |
|
2000-01 |
83.19 |
100.00 |
84.00 |
100.00 |
|
2001-02 |
86.18 |
103.59 |
85.48 |
101.76 |
|
2002-03 |
89.12 |
107.13 |
90.60 |
107.86 |
|
2003-04 |
93.98 |
112.97 |
94.93 |
113.01 |
|
2004-05 |
100.07 |
120.29 |
100.00 |
119.05 |
|
2005-06 |
104.50 |
125.62 |
105.70 |
125.83 |
|
2006-07 |
111.40 |
133.91 |
112.80 |
134.29 |
|
2007-08 |
116.60 |
140.16 |
121.50 |
144.64 |
|
2008-09 |
126.00 |
151.46 |
123.50 |
147.02 |
Source:
Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economics: RBI, 2008-09 Sept15 2009, Office of
Economic Advisor Ministry of Commerce and Industry.
The conversion process
is explained hereunder
(a) All items of Profit & Loss Account,
except Inventory Cost, Depreciation, Taxation, and Equity Dividend have been
restated with reference to the "average price index of the
year/period" as applicable to the individual year.
(b) Inventory cost has been restated after
segregating opening balance of inventories, purchases of raw materials and
closing balance of inventories as follows:
·
Opening
balance of inventories restated in previous year average price index.
·
Closing
inventories and purchases of raw materials restated in average year price index
as applicable to the individual year.
(c) Fixed Assets and Depreciation cost of all
the years of study has been adjusted to year base year 2000-01 at year end
price index.
(d)
Taxation,
Dividend on equity shares have been restated with reference to the "end of
the year/period index" as applicable to the individual year
(e)
The CPP
Method divides the Balance Sheet items into two categories: Monetary items and
Non-monetary items. Monetary items are those assets and liabilities the amounts
of which are fixed by contract or statute in terms of the number of rupees
irrespective of the changes in the purchasing power of rupee. Items which comes
under monetary in nature are as follows:
·
Monetary assets
include Investments, which are fixed in rupees, Current Assets other than
Inventories.
·
Monetary Liabilities include
Secured Loans, Unsecured Loans, Current Liabilities and Provisions
Since the
value of monetary items is fixed in rupees, they are already expressed in terms
of current purchasing power of rupee and, therefore, need no restatement.
For
Calculating purchasing power gain/loss, the balance of net monetary
liabilities/assets as on the date of the Balance Sheet is bifurcated into
opening balance and additions/decrements thereto during the year. The opening
balance is restated with reference to the index prevalent on that date.
Additions/decrements are restated with reference to the average index of the
year. The closing balance is deducted from the total of restated opening
balance and additions/decrements. The resultant figure, if positive, is gain
otherwise loss in the case of net monetary liabilities and vice versa in the
case of net monetary assets.
5. ANALYSIS OF
IMPACT OF INFLATION ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OFMANICURING COMPANIES IN INDIA:
Financial Statements are said to be store
house financial information. If properly analyzed and interpreted, they can
provide valuable insights into an organization’s performance and position.
Though there are many analytical devices used for analyzing financial
statements (viz. financial ratios, common size statements, comparative
analysis, and trend analysis). After converting the historical data into
current purchasing power, the common-size statement and comparative statement
have used to studythe impact of inflation on sample
companies for different years of study.
The Tables-2 to 6 shows the Profit and Loss
Accounts of Sample companies both under Historical Cost Based (HCB) Method as
well as under Current Purchasing Power (CPP) Method for the years 2004-08.
These Tables depict different items in their absolute figures as well as
relative variation between two accounting methods under discussion. Since
direct comparison is impossible between HCB Method and CPP Method, the
financial statements have been re-casted to a common basis. The methodology is to
equate ‘Total Revenue’ of the relevant year as 100 and recasting all other
figures, from raw materials to profit before tax, accordingly as a percentage
of total revenue. Again, the profit before tax (PBT) has been equated to 100
and recasting all other items, from tax to retained earnings, as a percentage
of PBT. The detailed analysis of different components and their trend is
discussed in detail in the following paragraphs.
Analysis of impact of inflation on financial
performance for the year 2004-05:
During the year 2004-05, the total revenue
of sample companies was Rs.209652.18 crores as per
HCB method, whereas under CPP method it was overstated by Rs.49087.16 crores (23.41 percent) due to inflation. The Material Cost
was found to be Rs.127841.43 crores and Rs.158880.87 crores as per HCB method and CPP method respectively. The
higher figure of material cost under CPP method by Rs.31039.44 crores (24.28 percent) over and above the HCB method is due
to the impact of inflation. However, the material cost for the year under
consideration was more or less identical as a percentage of total revenue under
the both methods, (60.98 percent under HCB method and 61.41 percent under CPP
method).
Table No.-2: Impact of inflation on
financial performance for the year 2004-05 (Rs.
in crores)
|
Particulars |
HCB Method |
CPP Method |
Change |
% of Change |
||
|
Total Revenue |
209652.18 |
100.00 |
258739.34 |
100.00 |
49087.16 |
23.41% |
|
Raw Material Cost |
127841.43 |
60.98 |
158880.87 |
61.41 |
31039.44 |
24.28% |
|
Other cost |
39844.86 |
19.01 |
49173.98 |
19.01 |
9329.12 |
23.41% |
|
Cost of Goods Sold |
167686.29 |
79.98 |
208054.85 |
80.41 |
40368.56 |
24.07% |
|
Depreciation |
6257.40 |
2.98 |
9199.87 |
3.56 |
2942.47 |
47.02% |
|
Purchasing Power Loss |
0.00 |
0.00 |
5361.21 |
2.07 |
5361.21 |
- |
|
Profit Before Tax |
35708.49 |
17.03 |
36123.41 |
13.96 |
414.92 |
1.16% |
|
Tax |
12146.10 |
34.01 |
15000.43 |
41.53 |
2854.33 |
23.50% |
|
Profit After Tax |
23562.39 |
65.99 |
21122.97 |
58.47 |
-2439.42 |
-10.35% |
|
Equity Dividend |
8623.03 |
24.15 |
10649.44 |
29.48 |
2026.41 |
23.50% |
|
Retained Earnings |
14939.36 |
41.84 |
10473.53 |
28.99 |
-4465.83 |
-29.89% |
While the cost of goods sold for the
year 2004-05 as per HCB method was 79.98 percent of the total revenue, it was
slightly higher (80.41 percent) as per CPP method. The absolute figure of cost
of goods sold was Rs.167686.29 crores under HCB
method and Rs.208054.85 crores under the CPP method
leading to a deviation of 24.07 percent due to inflation. Similarly,
depreciation as a percentage of total revenue was 2.98 percent and 3.56 percent
as per HCB and CPP method respectively. The absolute figure of depreciation was
found to be Rs.6257.40 crores as per HCB method,
which lowers by Rs.2942.47 crores (47.02 percent)
under CPP method due to inflation. Moreover, from the Table it is observed that
the profit before tax (PBT) was higher by Rs.414.92 crores
under CPP method as compared to HCB method due to interface of total revenue,
cost of goods sold, depreciation and purchasing power loss.
The
HCB profit and loss account reveals that the sample companies had paid 34.01
percent of the profit before tax as tax in the year 2004-05, whereas the
corresponding figure under the CPP method was as high as 41.53 percent. Thus
the sample companies have paid excess tax to the amount of 7.52 percent in real
terms bringing out clearly the hazardous impact of inflation on their tax
burden. As a result, the profit after tax (PAT) under CPP method was dropped by
Rs.2439.42 crores constituting about 10.35 percent of
the PBT.
Lastly,
Table-2 reveals that the equity shareholders were overpaid to the tune of 5.33
percent as return on their capital as per CPP method keeping lesser amount as
retained earnings for future growth.
Analysis of impact of inflation on financial
performance for the year 2005-06:
It is clear from Table-3 that the total
revenue of sample companies has been inflated by Rs.45725.95 crores (18.18 percent) in the year 2005-06. Its absolute
figure under HCB method was Rs.251492.77 crores,
which increased to Rs.297218.72 crores under CPP
method. In the same way the material cost as per HCB method was Rs.163991.38 crores but it was exaggerated by Rs.30821.05 crores (18.79 percent) due to inflation (as disclosed by
CPP method).
As evident from the Table, the cost of goods
sold of sample companies was overstated by Rs.38520.48 (18.67 percent) under
CPP method in the year 2005-06 due to inflation. Likewise, the absolute figure
of depreciation stood at Rs.8159.35crores and Rs.11996.19 crores
respectively under HCB and CPP method. It was 3.24 percent of total revenue as
per HCB method and 4.04 percent as per CPP method. Therefore it can be said
that depreciation was understated by 47.02 percent (Rs.3836.84 crores) due to inflation.
Table No.-3: Impact of inflation on
financial performance for the year 2005-06 (Rs.
in crores)
|
Particulars |
HCB Method |
CPP Method |
Change |
% of Change |
||
|
Total Revenue |
251492.77 |
100.00 |
297218.72 |
100.00 |
45725.95 |
18.18% |
|
Raw Material Cost |
163991.38 |
65.21 |
194812.43 |
65.55 |
30821.05 |
18.79% |
|
Other cost |
42346.83 |
16.84 |
50046.25 |
16.84 |
7699.42 |
18.18% |
|
Cost of Goods Sold |
206338.21 |
82.05 |
244858.69 |
82.38 |
38520.48 |
18.67% |
|
Depreciation |
8159.35 |
3.24 |
11996.19 |
4.04 |
3836.84 |
47.02% |
|
Purchasing Power Loss |
0.00 |
0.00 |
3652.31 |
1.23 |
3652.31 |
- |
|
Profit Before Tax |
36995.21 |
14.71 |
36711.53 |
12.35 |
-283.68 |
-0.77% |
|
Tax |
12339.09 |
33.35 |
14417.01 |
39.27 |
2077.92 |
16.84% |
|
Profit After Tax |
24656.12 |
66.65 |
22294.53 |
60.73 |
-2361.59 |
-9.58% |
|
Equity Dividend |
9256.95 |
25.02 |
10815.83 |
29.46 |
1558.88 |
16.84% |
|
Retained Earnings |
15399.17 |
41.62 |
11478.70 |
31.27 |
-3920.47 |
-25.46% |
Due to the above incidence, profit before
tax for the year 2005-06 was overstated by Rs.283.68 (0.77 percent) in HCB
method. It was found to be 14.71 percent and 12.35 percent of the total revenue
respectively as per HCB and CPP method. Again it can be observed from the Table
that the sample companies had paid additional tax of 5.92 percent in real terms
during the year 2005-06. As a result PAT has understated by Rs.2361.59 crores (9.58 percent) due to burden of inflation.
Lastly, Table-3 reveals that the sample
companies had paid more dividends due to inflation in the year 2005-06, which
could have retained by the sample companies for their future development.
Analysis of impact of inflation financial
performance for the year 2006-07
The Table-4 depicts impact of inflation on
profit/loss of sample companies for the year 2006-07. From that Table, it is
clear that the total revenue was enhanced by Rs.32988.96 crores
(10.86 percent) due to inflation. The total revenue for the year under
consideration was Rs.303716.50 crores as per HCB
method which increased to Rs.336705.46 crores as per
CPP method. Similarly the figure for
material cost which stood Rs.197634.80 crores under
HCB method was adversely affected to the extent of Rs.23231.99 crores (11.76 percent) due to inflation. However the
material cost for the year as a percentage of total revenue was recorded at
65.07 percent and 65.60 percent respectively under HCB method and CPP method.
Table No.-4: Impact of inflation on
financial performance for the year 2006-07 (Rs.
in crores)
|
Particulars |
HCB Method |
CPP Method |
Change |
% of Change |
||
|
Total Revenue |
303716.50 |
100.00 |
336705.46 |
100.00 |
32988.96 |
10.86% |
|
Raw Material Cost |
197634.80 |
65.07 |
220866.79 |
65.60 |
23231.99 |
11.76% |
|
Other cost |
51372.37 |
16.91 |
56952.31 |
16.91 |
5579.94 |
10.86% |
|
Cost of Goods Sold |
249007.17 |
81.99 |
277819.10 |
82.51 |
28811.93 |
11.57% |
|
Depreciation |
8156.90 |
2.69 |
11992.59 |
3.56 |
3835.69 |
47.02% |
|
Purchasing Power Loss |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1719.35 |
0.51 |
1719.35 |
- |
|
Profit Before Tax |
46552.43 |
15.33 |
45174.42 |
13.42 |
-1378.01 |
-2.96% |
|
Tax |
15124.38 |
32.49 |
16559.05 |
36.66 |
1434.67 |
9.49% |
|
Profit After Tax |
31428.05 |
67.51 |
28615.37 |
63.34 |
-2812.68 |
-8.95% |
|
Equity Dividend |
10271.06 |
22.06 |
11245.35 |
24.89 |
974.29 |
9.49% |
|
Retained Earnings |
21156.99 |
45.45 |
17370.01 |
38.45 |
-3786.98 |
-17.90% |
It is depicted from the Table that the cost
of goods sold under CPP method was overstated by Rs.28811.93 crores (11.57 percent) as compared to HCB method. It is
found to be at 81.99 percent and 82.51 percent of the total revenue
respectively under both the methods. The absolute figure of cost of goods sold
was Rs.249007.17 crores only under HCB method but under
the CPP method, it was Rs.277819.10 crores. The main
factors which attributed to this divergence in cost of goods sold were inflated
material cost as well as other costs attached to it. In the same way,
depreciation was inflated by Rs.3835.69 crores (47.02
percent) under the CPP method as against the HCB method for the year 2006-07.
The figure of depreciation as per HCB method was Rs.8156.90 crores
(2.69 percent of the total revenue), which magnified to Rs.11992.59 crores (3.56 percent total revenue) under CPP method due to
inflation.
Taking above incidences into consideration,
the profit before tax for the year 2006-07 was understated by Rs.1378.01 crores (2.96 percent) under CPP method. The absolute figure
of profit before tax was Rs.46552.43 crores under HCB
method which decreased to Rs.45174.42 crores under
CPP method in 2006-07 due to purchasing power loss. Consequently the sample
companies have paid more tax to the extent of 4.17 percent in real terms as
revealed by HCB method. Table-4 also reveals that dividend paid was 22.06
percent as per HCB method and 24.89 percent as per CPP method, adversely affecting the retained
earnings by Rs.3786.98 crores.
Analysis of impact of inflation on financial
performance for the year 2007-08:
As it depicted in Table -5, the total
revenue for the year 2007-08 as per HCB method was Rs.339848.84 crores, while as per CPP method it was Rs.359960.06 crores. Thus CPP total revenue was overstated by Rs.
20111.22 crores (5.92 percent) as compared to HCB
total revenue due to inflation. On the contrary, the material cost for the year
under consideration was more or less same as percentage of total revenue under
both the methods of accounting, i.e. 65.10 percent and 65.44 percent. The
material cost was Rs.221236.79 crores as per HCB
method and Rs.235559.79 crores as per CPP method. The
deviation of Rs.14323.00 crores (6.47 percent)
between two methods of accounting is attributable to the impact of inflation.
In the
year 2007-08, cost of goods sold are found to be Rs.280467.63 crores in case of HCB method and Rs.298295.72 crores in case of CPP method, which is the cause of
overstatement of cost of goods sold of sample companies to the extent of
Rs.17828.09 crores (6.36 percent of total revenue).
On the other hand, the depreciation for the year was found to be 2.78 percent
of total revenue as per HCB method and 3.86 percent under the CPP method as a
result of which it was reduced by Rs.4441.61 crores
(47.02 percent) in HCB method. This is certainly due to change price level or
inflation.
Table No.-5 Impact of Inflation on
Profit/Loss for the Year 2007-08 (Rs. in crores)
|
Particulars |
HCB Method |
CPP Method |
Change |
% of Change |
||
|
Total Revenue |
339848.84 |
100.00 |
359960.06 |
100.00 |
20111.22 |
5.92% |
|
Raw Material Cost |
221236.79 |
65.10 |
235559.79 |
65.44 |
14323.00 |
6.47% |
|
Other cost |
59230.84 |
17.43 |
62735.92 |
17.43 |
3505.08 |
5.92% |
|
Cost of Goods Sold |
280467.63 |
82.53 |
298295.72 |
82.87 |
17828.09 |
6.36% |
|
Depreciation |
9445.44 |
2.78 |
13887.05 |
3.86 |
4441.61 |
47.02% |
|
Purchasing Power Loss |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-131.98 |
-0.04 |
-131.98 |
- |
|
Profit Before Tax |
49935.77 |
14.69 |
47909.28 |
13.31 |
-2026.49 |
-4.06% |
|
Tax |
17278.93 |
34.60 |
17563.36 |
36.66 |
284.43 |
1.65% |
|
Profit After Tax |
32656.84 |
65.40 |
30345.92 |
63.34 |
-2310.92 |
-7.08% |
|
Equity Dividend |
10527.49 |
21.08 |
10700.78 |
22.34 |
173.29 |
1.65% |
|
Retained Earnings |
22129.35 |
44.32 |
19645.14 |
41.00 |
-2484.21 |
-11.23% |
Due to above interaction between total
revenue and cost of goods sold, the profit before tax was understated by
Rs.2026.49 crores (4.06 percent) even though the
sample companies have recorded a purchasing power gain of Rs.131.98 crores under CPP method. Again Table-5 clearly indicates
that the sample companies had paid tax up to 34.60 percent and 36.66 percent of
their profit before tax respectively under HCB and CPP method. That means the
sample companies had paid excess tax of 2.06 percent of their profit before tax
due to inflation in the year. Consequently during the year 2007-08, profit
after tax has been reduced by Rs.2310.92 crores (7.08
percent) under CPP method.
The
dividend paid stood at 21.08 percent of profit before tax as per HCB method and
22.34 percent as per CPP method, which clearly articulates additional payment
in the year 2007-08 under the traditional HCB method. All these truth were
responsible for understatement of the retained earnings by Rs.2484.21 crores in 2007-08 in case of CPP method.
Analysis of impact of inflation on financial
performance for the Year 2008-09:
As revealed in Table-6, the total revenue
for the year 2008-09 was Rs.401655.13 crores under
HCB method and reduced by Rs.7969.32 (1.98 percent) under CPP method due to
change in price level. In the similar manner, material cost was found
Rs.272756.67 crores (67.91 percent) under HCB method
and reduced by Rs.2963.92 (1.09 percent) under CPP method due to change in
price level.
Table No.-6 Impact of Inflation on
Profit/Loss for the Year 2008-09 Rs in crores
|
Particulars |
HCB Method |
CPP Method |
Change |
% of Change |
||
|
Total Revenue |
401655.13 |
100.00 |
393685.81 |
100.00 |
-7969.32 |
-1.98% |
|
Raw Material Cost |
272756.67 |
67.91 |
269792.75 |
68.53 |
-2963.92 |
-1.09% |
|
Other cost |
70408.42 |
17.53 |
69011.43 |
17.53 |
-1396.99 |
-1.98% |
|
Cost of Goods Sold |
343165.09 |
85.44 |
338804.18 |
86.06 |
-4360.91 |
-1.27% |
|
Depreciation |
10419.58 |
2.59 |
15319.26 |
3.89 |
4899.68 |
47.02% |
|
Purchasing Power Loss |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-54.18 |
-0.01 |
-54.18 |
- |
|
Profit Before Tax |
48070.46 |
11.97 |
39616.55 |
10.06 |
-8453.91 |
-17.59% |
|
Tax |
14778.17 |
30.74 |
14778.17 |
37.30 |
0.00 |
0.00% |
|
Profit After Tax |
33292.29 |
69.26 |
24838.38 |
62.70 |
-8453.91 |
-25.39% |
|
Equity Dividend |
10371.96 |
21.58 |
10371.96 |
26.18 |
0.00 |
0.00% |
|
Retained Earnings |
22920.33 |
47.68 |
14466.42 |
36.52 |
-8453.91 |
-36.88% |
The reduction of material and other costs
was responsible understatement of cost of goods sold in the year 2008-09 under
CPP method. The cost of goods sold as a percentage of total revenue was found
to be 85.44 percent as per HCB method and 86.06 percent under CPP method as
result of change in the level of prices. On the other hand, the depreciation
has been overstated by Rs.4899.68 crores (47.02
percent) under CPP method as contrast to HCB method for the year 2008-09. It
was recorded at 2.59 percent of the total revenue as per HCB method and 3.89
percent of total revenue under CPP method. The absolute figure of depreciation
was Rs.10419.58 crores as per HCB method, which has
inflated to Rs.15319.26 crores in the case of CPP
method.
Owing to the above incidence, the profit
before tax and profit after tax in the last year of study i.e. 2008-09 has been
understated by Rs.8453.91 crores in CPP method as
compared to HCB method. In the same year, it was manifested that under CPP
method, the profit before tax came down from Rs.48070.46 crores
to Rs.39616.55 crores and profit after tax from
Rs.33292.29 crores to Rs.24838.38 crores
even though the sample companies had recorded purchasing power gains of
Rs.54.18 crores under CPP method. The CPP method
adjustments have thus proved that historical profit is a myth. On the other hand, it is obvious from HCB
profit and loss account that the sample companies had paid tax @30.74 percent
of profit before tax in the year 2008-09 and 37.30 percent as per CPP profit
and loss account. This indicates that sample companies have paid extra tax in
real terms than exposed by HCB method to the extent of 6.56 percent. Moreover,
the sample companies have also paid more dividends due to overstatement of
profits leaving a smaller amount for Retained Earnings in 2008-09.
6.
CONCLUSION:
From
the above discussion, it is clear that due to inflation the financial
performance of sample companies has been understated, resulting additional
payment of tax and dividend, but reduction in shareholders’ funds by dropping
retained earnings. Moreover, the dismal performance revealed under the CPP
method points towards the efficiency of the management in fighting against
inflation. Whatever view one takes, no one can deny that, but inflation has
taken its toll. The reason for overstatement of corporate profitability under
HCB method may be attributed to undervaluation of material cost and
depreciation. The performance which otherwise appears to be quite good, turned
out to be very dismal, when adjustments for current purchasing power of rupee
are made. The CPP method adjustments have thus proved that historical
profitability is a fairy story.
7. REFERENCES:
1.
Antonios A. P., (1986) in their
article “Assessing the impact of inflation on business Performance under
conditions of limited Financial disclosure: the case of firms Operating in
Greece”, University of Piraeus, p 25-42.
2.
Baran A., Lakonishok J. and Ofer A. B.,
(1980) in their article entitled “The Information Content of General Price
Level Adjustment Earnings: Some Empirical Evidence”.
3.
Daly D.
J. (1982), Inflation, Inflation Accounting and its Effect, Canadian
Manufacturing 1966-82”, York University, Downs view, Ontario pp. 355-374.
4.
Gupta A.,
(2000) The Book “Inflation Accounting The Indian Context” Kanishka
Publishers and Distributors.
5.
Gupta R. and Bhandari L. C.,
(1978) in Impact of Inflation Accounting on Corporate Profits - A Study of 57
Indian Companies, Institute of Management Ahmadabad, Research and
Publication Department , working Paper Series
6.
Gupta
R., (1978) Inflation Accounting in India - A Case Study of the Bharat Heavy
Electricals Ltd. Institute of Management Ahmadabad,
Research and Publication Department, working Paper Series.
7.
Hand
Book on Statistics of the Indian Economy, Reverse Bank of India 2008-09
8.
Hand
Book on Statistics of the Indian Economy, Reverse Bank of India September 15
2011.
9.
http://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Inflation+Accounting
(2012)
10. http://hindi.economictimes.indiatimes.com/currentquote.cms?ticker=a&matchcompanyname=true&pagesize=30&pagenumber=1
11. http://www.moneycontrol.com/stocksmarketsindia/
12. Jennings R. &Maturana
G. (2005) in their article The Usefulness Of Chilean Inflation Accounting, in
the journal ABANTE, p 85-118
13. Kohler, E.L., A Dictionary of Accountants,
6th edition, Prentice Flail of India Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 1983, p.111.
14. Konchitchki
Y., (2011), Inflation and Nominal Financial Reporting: Implications for
Performance and Stock Prices, The Accounting Review, Volume 86 (3): 1045–1085.
15. Lacey, K.C., Some implications of the
first-in-first-out method of stock valuation, Economics, Feb., 1945, PP. 26-30.
16. N'cho-Oguee
C., Blakley D. L., Murray L. W. & Smith M. B., (2 011), Econometric
Analysis Of Functional Relationship Between Inflation And Growth Of Firms In
South Africa : Empirical Research Findings Journal of Financial Management and
Analysis, Om Sai Ram Centre for Financial Management
Research p1-19
17. Norby W.
C., (1981) The Interpretation of Inflation Accounting Information, The SAXE
Lecture in Accounting. P48-55
18. Nunley,
Terry James, 1983 ‘Can Disclosures of the Effects of Changing Pieces be
audited? A Case Study’ Dissertation Abstracts International Vol. 44 No. 8
February, 1984, p. 2504-A,
19. Okumus,
H. S., (2002) “ The effect of inflation on measures of profitability in Turkish
banking”, YapıKredi Economic Review, 2002,
vol.13, no. 2, pp. 3-18.
20. Paraître
Fr. (2003) in the article Inflation Accounting A Manual on National Accounting
Under Conditions of High Inflation.
OCDE Comptesnationaux et Statistiquesrétrospectives, pp. I-100 (101)
21. Porwal,
L.S. and Mishra, N., 1983 Corporate Practices in
Inflation Accounting in India; Indian Journal of Accounting (Journal of the
Indian Accounting Association) Vol. XIII, June & December, 1983, Part II.
22. Sharma R. K And Gupta S. K.,(2003) A book
on Management Accounting
pp31.1-31.21
23. Sinha
S.L.N., 1974 “Inflation and Company Finance”, in Sinha
(Ed.), Inflation in India, pp. 276-280.
24. Table of Wholesale Price Index -All India,
Economic Survey of Delhi, 2007-08 Month And Year Wise Wholesale Price Index
Numbers of All India P272-278
Received on 11.01.2013 Modified on 15.01.2013
Accepted on 20.01.2013 ©
A&V Publication all right reserved
Asian J. Management 4(1): Jan.-Mar. 2013
page 28-35